The yield on 10-year government bonds is up 4 basis points today to 2.686%. This is a relatively large movement and comes despite the decline in US markets.
The price action signal today is because of the Fed, who commented that they may be a bit more aggressive if the US and China reach a trade deal.
On the chart, the fall of November is entirely due to the Fed's passivity and the fears of recession or slowing growth.
Technically, the February model is a triple bottom at 2.61%, but after December, a downward trend has been formed, which was drilled today. We are now at a stage where there will be a break up or down and I advise to keep track of developments because the results will be critical to many asset classes.
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