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5 things we're going to trade this week

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1. U.S. Retail Sales
The Commerce Department will release data on retail sales for January at 8:30AM ET (12:30 GMT) on Monday.
The consensus forecast is that the report, delayed by roughly three weeks due to the government shutdown, will show retail sales were flat, following a plunge of 1.2% in December, which was the largest decline since September 2009.
Excluding the automobile sector, sales are expected to rise 0.4%, bouncing back from a drop of 1.8% in the preceding month.

2. U.S. Inflation
The Commerce Department will publish February CPI figures at 8:30AM ET (12:30 GMT) Tuesday.
Consumer prices are expected to have risen 0.2% last month, according to estimates, compared to January's flat reading. On a yearly base, CPI is projected to climb 1.6%, the same gain recorded a month earlier.
Excluding the cost of food and fuel, core inflation prices are forecast to have gained 0.2% last month and 2.2% over the prior year.

4. Brexit Vote
With less than three weeks to go until Britain is expected to leave the European Union, investors will keep a watchful eye on the British parliament's vote on whether to approve Prime Minister Theresa May's withdrawal deal.
May's government is scrambling - so far unsuccessfully - to secure last-minute changes to an exit agreement she negotiated with the EU before Tuesday's vote.
If she fails, lawmakers are expected to force May to seek a delay to Brexit that some fear could see the 2016 decision to leave the bloc reversed. Others argue that without a delay Britain faces chaos if it leaves without a deal on March 29.
Besides Brexit, market players will focus on monthly GDP figures for further hints on the health of the economy.

3. U.S. Durable Goods Orders
The Commerce Department will release data on January durable goods orders at 8:30AM ET (12:30 GMT) Wednesday.
The consensus forecast is that the report will show orders for durable goods fell by 0.7% last month. Core orders, which exclude volatile transportation items, are forecast to rise 0.2%.

5. China Industrial Output
China will release January industrial production figures on Thursday morning.
The consensus among analysts is that the data will show China's factory output grew 5.5%, slowing from a gain of 5.7% recorded in December.
At the same time, the Asian nation will publish reports on fixed asset investment and retail sales.
Recent data has shown that China's economy is still losing steam, after growth last year cooled to a near 30-year low, highlighting the fallout from the ongoing U.S.-China trade dispute.


 Trader Georgi Bozhidarov

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