www.varchev.com

The perfect stock market storm is on the horizon

Stock market storm on horizont

Rating:

12345
Loading...

Paul Ciana, global chief FICC technical strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, says the market's "headed right in the eye of the storm," and there are two charts to watch that could signal some dark clouds ahead.

"Our thesis here suggests that U.S. financial conditions continue to deteriorate," he said Thursday on CNBC's "Futures Now."

Ciana refers specifically to the bond market and gold as key indicators that could suggest that the second quarter could be as bumpy as the first.

On a chart of the U.S. 10-year futures, Ciana sees a "double breakout" pattern that has recently occurred. This, along with the fact that rallies in the 10-year futures have also been accompanied by high volume, has Ciana believing that the bond market could soon rally.

10 year note

The strategist also sees bullish signs in the charts for gold, which is generally considered a safe haven trade once stocks start to fall. As of Thursday, gold was on pace for its longest quarterly winning streak since 2011, and according to Ciana could start second quarter on strong footing.

"6 of the last 7 big rallies in gold did have substantially high volume compared to the declines that happened before that," said Ciana referring to a weekly chart of gold.

On the same chart, Ciana also points out that a bull flag scenario could be forming, another sign that gold may take a leg higher. "So I think with gold sitting here at about $1,320 or so, you have a great risk reward where you could probably target somewhere in the mid-1,400s if a bull flag scenario does in fact follow."

Gold chart

All of this leads Ciana to believe that the market volatility seen in the early months of 2018 could be replicated in the next few months.

"Enjoy the little bit of calm in the middle of the storm, and get ready to hunker down as Q2 is probably going to be a bit more similar to Q1," he added.

Source: CNBC


 Trader Petar Milanov

Read more:

RECCOMEND WAS THIS POST USEFUL FOR YOU?
If you think, we can improve that section,
please comment. Your oppinion is imortant for us.
WARNING: Any news, opinions, research, data or other information contained within this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Varchev Finance Ltd. expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Varchev Finance Ltd. may provide information, quotes, references and links to or from other sites and blogs and other sources of economic and market information as an educational service to its clients and prospects and does not endorse the opinions or recommendations of the sites, blogs or other sources of information.
Varchev Finance

London


25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256

Universal numbers

World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600    Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44

Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.

Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006

The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.


Disclaimer:

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

chat with dealer
chat with dealer
Cookies policy