www.varchev.com

Better data from Non Farm will give Fed a strong signal to rise rates in September

Rating:

12345
Loading...

If August job growth comes in somewhere over 200,000, that would be strong enough to boost the chances for a Fed interest rate hike in September.

Analysts say during the month of August 180,000 nonfarm payrolls are created and the unemployment rate is expected to decrease by 4.8%. The report follows July's 255,000 jobs, and comes after two robust months of hiring removed concerns about an especially weak labor market in May.

The number of employment is the most important input data for Fed. Even so, many Fed viewers remain convinced that the second increase in interest rates in 10 years is likely to come in December, after the elections and much more data. Although many analysts and traders speculate what will the data be, economists warn that in recent years, the number of jobs in August were well below expectations. According to some analysts, the dollar will follow the results of the Nonfarm.

Goldman Sachs economists said they are expecting just 165,000 payrolls, based in part on the quirkiness of August reports. They said August payrolls have fallen short of consensus by about 49,000 since 2011. Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects to see 180,000 nonfarm payrolls, and they expect the Fed to hike rates in December. Ward McCarthy, chief financial economist, said even if the payrolls meet his forecast of 205,000, the Fed will not hike in September. His opinion is based on the statement by Janet Yellen, which manifest that important economic decisions will not be taken by one number. Barclays chief U.S. economist Michael Gapen is one of the few who has stuck with a view that the Fed will hike in September. He also expects to see 200,000 nonfarm payrolls.


 Varchev Traders
RECCOMEND WAS THIS POST USEFUL FOR YOU?
If you think, we can improve that section,
please comment. Your oppinion is imortant for us.
WARNING: Any news, opinions, research, data or other information contained within this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Varchev Finance Ltd. expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Varchev Finance Ltd. may provide information, quotes, references and links to or from other sites and blogs and other sources of economic and market information as an educational service to its clients and prospects and does not endorse the opinions or recommendations of the sites, blogs or other sources of information.
Varchev Finance

London


25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256

Universal numbers

World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600    Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44

Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.

Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006

The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.


Disclaimer:

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

chat with dealer
chat with dealer
Cookies policy