www.varchev.com

Buy the dips? No, sell the rallies: JPM strategist

Rating:

12345
Loading...

fter working wonders for years, the strategy of buying market dips is now dead, and savvy traders should instead pursue the opposite strategy, according to JPMorgan global equity strategist Mislav Matejka.

"We were positive on equities for quite a long time. For seven years, we were saying to people, 'You should be buying any dips.' But we think structurally, this regime is coming to an end, and the regime that we should be having now is one of selling any rallies," Matejka said in a Monday interview on CNBC's "Trading Nation."

This is all a way of saying that he now sees the bias for equities as being to the downside, rather than the upside.

"My view is that on a 12-, 24-month view, markets will be lower than today," Matejka said.

This is based on his perception that the three biggest drivers of stocks over the past seven years — profit margin growth, Federal Reserve accommodation and the corporate issuance of debt to buy back shares — "are done."

Not to mention that the calendar no longer appears to be on the side of investors.

"Every cycle since the second world war was five years; the longest one was seven years. Now you're basically in the seventh year. So my view is that from here, it will be much harder for equities to perform," Matejka said.

So what's an investor to do? Unfortunately, few good options present themselves.

"I don't think one can diversify too much, because if U.S. equities go down, everything else will go down even more," he pointed out.

Read MoreDon't worry, stocks may rise 10% this year: Siegel

"Obviously it's difficult to say to people, 'You want to be in cash or bonds,' because they're yielding nothing. But to me, it's about capital preservation," said the strategist.

"We've had a great bull run for a very long time, and one should prepare for markets to be weaker. And thus not losing money is better than being invested."


 Varchev Traders
RECCOMEND WAS THIS POST USEFUL FOR YOU?
If you think, we can improve that section,
please comment. Your oppinion is imortant for us.
WARNING: Any news, opinions, research, data or other information contained within this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Varchev Finance Ltd. expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Varchev Finance Ltd. may provide information, quotes, references and links to or from other sites and blogs and other sources of economic and market information as an educational service to its clients and prospects and does not endorse the opinions or recommendations of the sites, blogs or other sources of information.
Varchev Finance

London


25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256

Universal numbers

World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600    Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44

Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.

Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006

The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.


Disclaimer:

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

chat with dealer
chat with dealer
Cookies policy