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Cash flows before the start of the EU session: risk off, investors are cautious

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The record series was broken yesterday in the US and earlier today in Asia. Although we couldn't talk about records right there. Either way, the unison indices were recording new daily highs from the positive effect of US interest cuts and optimism over the trade war. Giving a 3-month buffer to Huawei raised expectations of a positive resolution to the conflict, but recent news rather reiterates the pang of uncertainty. Shortly before the end of the US session, the US Senate passed a bill to support protesters in Hong Kong. Just a few hours later, upon recognizing the Chinese, they immediately called the US consul and were now pushing for a repeal of the law.

Coming to China on the Hong Kong issue, the US is trying out Xi's patience, which would ruin any expectations of reaching any Phase 1. And Trump threatens to raise tariffs if this is the deal this time around. be avoided.

Investors are beginning to get back on the bench, watching the increasingly tense dribble between the US and China. This was seen yesterday. Smart money moved faster this time around negative news from risky assets to more defensive ones.

With the deterioration of sentiment today, we will expect a more lenient mood for risk, with early indications of European indices pointing to a slightly shakier start at the start of the European session. Cash flows will look for a direction for gold, franc and yen, with all three asset protections reporting increases at this stage. The tide is felt with oil and the US dollar. Money also prefers bonds, with yields on the 10-year US $ 1.80% at the expense of a price increase, which is a risk off move.


 Trader Martin Nikolov

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