www.varchev.com

Cramer: Brace yourself big bad jobs, oil & Greece

Rating:

12345
Loading...

Jim Cramer sees investors are fraught right now, because of the potential for a very difficult day of events on Friday. Worried investors hammered the market Thursday.

"Unfortunately, at least for the bulls, we have not one, not two, but three big bad events staring us right in the face," the "Mad Money" host said. (Tweet This)

The first of the big events on Friday morning is the Labor Department's employment report. Cramer has done extensive research on this, and warned that all non-farm payroll numbers are very important. All it takes is one number to determine the direction that the market is headed.

Right now the magic number that the bulls are terrified of is 220,000. If that good of an employment number is released, Cramer fears that the Fed may misinterpret the data and raise interest rates too soon.

"I don't think we're in steady mode at all. We're up and down. Every industry is up and down. The most important sector I follow, transportation, isn't even up, it's just down. There is real weakness in shipping, and that's a very bad sign for the economy," Cramer added.

Cramer can see the signs that the market is frantic about a rate hike. If you keep an eye on interest-rate-sensitive stocks, like the master limited partnerships, utilities and real estate investment trusts, you can see how they are floundering all over the place. These stocks have been hit hard, regardless of how well the companies are doing.

The next issue is Greece. Cramer said on Wednesday that he thinks the media has hyped the issue too much, but that doesn't mean it has gone away. There are too many people out there right now who still believe that it is the end of the world if Greece defaults. So, until there is some sort of a resolution, the world will be held hostage by this nation of 11 million people.

The third issue on Cramer's radar for Friday is the big OPEC meeting. In Cramer's opinion, it is pretty obvious that Saudi Arabia wants to maintain its market share and is willing to do so by any means necessary. So, they need to keep prices low in an attempt to slow U.S. production.

However, according to the statistics of RBN, capital expenditures in the oil patch have been cut but the U.S. is still expected to increase its oil and gas production versus last year. That is definitely not what OPEC wanted.

So what are the best options to resolve these three issues? We could see a resolution in Greece, or perhaps an in-line or soft employment number will slow the Fed down. In Cramer's perspective, we all need to just get through the OPEC meeting without anything major occurring so that oil can resume going down quietly and with minimal damage.

"I'd be remiss if I didn't acknowledge that these are real problems. There's typically a relief rally that comes after these big bad events. However, that might not occur until next Tuesday," Cramer said.

Cramer thinks the selloff that occurred on Thursday is totally rational and expected. So, either take advantage of it with your shopping list of stocks in hand, or be ready for the big headwinds on Friday, so you don't join the rest of the market and sell the good with the bad.


 Varchev Traders
RECCOMEND WAS THIS POST USEFUL FOR YOU?
If you think, we can improve that section,
please comment. Your oppinion is imortant for us.
WARNING: Any news, opinions, research, data or other information contained within this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Varchev Finance Ltd. expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Varchev Finance Ltd. may provide information, quotes, references and links to or from other sites and blogs and other sources of economic and market information as an educational service to its clients and prospects and does not endorse the opinions or recommendations of the sites, blogs or other sources of information.
Varchev Finance

London


25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256

Universal numbers

World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600    Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44

Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.

Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006

The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.


Disclaimer:

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

chat with dealer
chat with dealer
Cookies policy