Pulitzer prize–winning oil analyst Daniel Yergin appears to be feeling more confident that American drillers can boost output in 2017.
"We're expecting this year to see U.S. production probably to be increased from beginning to end by more than 500,000 barrels a day," the vice chairman of IHS Markit told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Thursday.
As recently as December, Yergin said U.S. drillers could add 300,000 to 500,000 barrels a day if U.S. crude prices stay between $50 and $55 a barrel.
Since then, oil prices have stabilized in that range as OPEC and other oil-producing nations, including Russia, report a high degree of compliance in their effort to remove 1.8 million barrels per day from an oversupplied oil market.
Yergin's forecast is meaningfully higher than some other forecasts. The International Energy Agency last month projected a gain of 320,000 barrels per day in the United States. IEA releases its next monthly report on Friday.
Oil prices remain at roughly half their peak levels in 2014, but Yergin noted the downturn has forced oil producers to drill more efficiently.
"A dollar invested in 2017 produces about two and a half times as much oil as a dollar invested in 2014, so I think even at these lower prices we're going to see this recovery," he said.
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