Dollar bulls may have no need to fret the
currency’s steepest gains versus the yen in more than 20 years
are about to end, as a fundamental gauge of the greenback’s
worth is signaling the best is yet to come. The dollar’s surge
has come as the so-called real-yield gap between the U.S. and
Japan -- the difference between inflation-adjusted interest
payments on 10-year debt -- widened to the most in a year. At
the same time, the correlation between that gauge and the
dollar-yen exchange rate has strengthened to 0.5, after reaching
the lowest since 2014 in the middle of last year.
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