A pair of typically closely correlated equity benchmarks haven’t been seeing eye to eye, lately.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, and the S&P 500 index SPX, the most popular stock-market gauges, usually move in lockstep, displaying what is known as a positive correlation. But in recent trade, the equity indicators have seen the lowest level of correlation since 2003, tracking a 20-day rolling average of the benchmarks over the past 15 years.
A reading of 0.00 describes no relationship between two assets, while 1.00 means assets are perfectly aligned, moving in the same direction at the same time.
A 15-year average of the Dow and the S&P 500 shows that the relationship is nearly perfect at 0.9557. However, the rolling 20-day period shows a stark erosion of that relationship, with a reading of 0.4655. marking the lowest level of correlation between the S&P and the Dow industrials since Aug. 4, 2003.
“The disconnect is probably due to the tech stocks because some of the biggest companies are tech stocks but not many of them are in the Dow Jones,” said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives at Schwab Center for Financial Research.
Source: Bloomberg
Junior Trader Stefan Panteleev
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