Five things to watch on the economic calendar

Global financial markets will be looking to this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting on Wednesday for fresh hints on the timing of the next U.S. rate hike.

Traders will also focus on the monthly U.S. employment report due Friday to gauge the health of the world's largest economy, especially in the wake of a recent string of disappointing economic data.
Elsewhere, the euro zone is to publish preliminary data on first-quarter economic growth on Wednesday for further hints on the strength of the region's economy.

Meanwhile, in the U.K., traders will focus on a trio of reports on activity in the manufacturing, construction and services sectors for further indications on the continued effect that the Brexit decision is having on the economy.

1. Federal Reserve Rate Decision
The Federal Reserve is not expected to take action on interest rates at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.

The central bank will release its post-meeting statement as investors look for any change in language which could point more clearly to a June rate hike.

There are also a number of Fed speakers slated to make appearances following Wednesday's meeting, with Chair Janet Yellen due to deliver a speech titled "Monetary Policy Rules and Committees" at the Hoover Institution, in Stanford on Friday.

Markets are currently pricing in around a 65% chance of a rate hike in June, according to Investing.com's Fed Rate Monitor Tool. For September, odds stood at about 80%.

The median Fed policymaker forecast is for two more rate increases by year-end, after already raising its benchmark interest rate once this year, by a quarter percentage point at its last policy meeting in March.

2. U.S. Jobs Report for April
The U.S. Labor Department will release its April nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.

The consensus forecast is that the data will show jobs growth of 185,000, following an increase of just 98,000 in March, the unemployment rate is forecast to inch up to 4.6% from 4.5%, while average hourly earnings are expected to rise 0.3% after gaining 0.2% a month earlier.

An upbeat employment report will point to an improving economy and support the case for higher interest rates in the coming months, while a weak report would add to uncertainty over the economic outlook and push prospects of tighter monetary policy further off the table.

3. Euro Zone flash Q1 GDP
The euro zone will publish a preliminary report on first-quarter economic growth on Wednesday.

The region's economy is forecast to expand 0.5% in the first three months of the year, accelerating slightly from growth of 0.4% in the preceding quarter.

Data late last week appeared to broadly back that up with weaker-than-expected gross domestic product expansion of 0.3% in France offset by booming 0.8% growth in Spain.

4. U.K. April PMI's
The U.K. will release readings on April manufacturing sector activity at 08:30GMT (4:30AM ET) on Tuesday, followed by a report on the construction sector on Wednesday and the service sector on Thursday.

The manufacturing PMI is forecast to dip to 54.0 from 54.2 a month earlier, construction activity is expected to weaken slightly to 52.0 from 52.2, while a survey on Britain's giant services sector is forecast to inch down to 54.5 from 55.0 last month.

Data released last week showed the British economy grew by just 0.3% in the January-March quarter, underlining worries that the economy is slowing just as Prime Minister Theresa May prepares to start negotiations to leave the European Union.

5. Worse data on China's PMI may have a negative impact on the market.
Production PMI data turned out to be worse than expected, 51.2 vs. 51.8 in March. China's economy grew by 6.9% in the first quarter, backed by increased infrastructure spending. This delay will most likely lead to even higher caution, a few days before the run-off in France.

This week, we expect financial statements from Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Facebook (NASDAQ: FB), Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) and Mastercard (NYSE: MA)

Source: Bloomberg

Jr Trader Petar Milanov

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