1. Statistically, August is a tough month for AUD. If we look back to 2005, the Australian has dropped 11 times, amid just three rises. The average negative return is -2.19%.
2. Gold - The strong or weak USD can have a significant impact on raw materials, but in the end August is a winning month for gold and oil. Since 2000 gold only registers a month of August at a loss, most likely due to the month-long feature that investors have to withdraw from the market and hedge their positions.
3. August is a holiday month, which is why large investors are withdrawing from the markets. With this liquidity drops, and the likelihood of speculation rises sharply, which in turn raises VIX. Whether it's a seasonal model or a collection of one-off deals is controversial, but the risks of trading, the yuan, NAFTA and the overall suicide of the VIX markets seem like a good bet.
4. GBP - August is the worst month of the cable calendar with decreases in 9 of the past 11 years. The BOE interest rate decision is tomorrow, and perhaps the beginning of the next trend.
Here are some more statistics:
August and September are the only months in which Bitcoin is down
This is the worst month for the German DAX
This is the worst month for natural gas
This is the worst month for the Nikkei 225
This is the worst month for kiwi
Read more:
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