The most aggressive high-frequency currency traders are showing signs of losing steam, suggesting platforms have succeeded at thwarting some speedy strategies.
Electronic specialists are making waves by eclipsing major banks in foreign-exchange trading. But some strategies -- focused on fast execution and short-term arbitrage -- have reached a “saturation point,” according to the Bank for International Settlements. At the same time, platforms have adopted so-called speed bumps to blunt advantages of the savviest firms, which have been blamed for sniffing out trader intentions to bet against them.
Those factors are behind a drop in buying and selling by hedge-fund and principal-trading firms, which fell to about $390 billion per day from $580 billion three years ago, according to a BIS.
As aggressive strategies wane, firms are increasingly confined to supplying quotes for market making. That’s seen as a passive and potentially more benign style of trading.
Executives at major electronic trading firms say the easy money has already been made. In the U.S. stock market, for example, speed-trader revenue fell to $1.1 billion this year, down from $7.2 billion in 2009.
Principal traders are especially prevalent in spot foreign- exchange, where volume has fallen 19 percent to $1.65 trillion in the past three years. High-frequency strategies are often
used in the spot market because it’s highly standardized, making it better suited to algorithms.
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