It is obvious that this fake, despairing optimism that investors have caught will dominate the US markets - at least during the first hours of the cash session.
Yes, yesterday the indexes recorded one of their better sessions for this year, but an important ingredient makes the difference between yesterday and today - the vanguard trading volumes.
As can be seen from the graph, net cash flows remain low and trading volumes remain far below yesterday's (as well as below average) levels.
After the start of the day, King USD has returned and dominates the FX market - another reason not to fully trust that we will get a new strong Wall Street day. Bond yields rise with gold, which makes us think that the strength of the dollar is not accidental.
The real reason for the rise of the indexes is the key support that they found in the 200-MA on daily chart in combination with the S&P 500 double bottom formation. For a technician - this may be enough for the LONG - but the real question here is - how long he will continue. Will we see a new peak in indexes soon?
The answer to this question is Washington. Optimists will say Trump will make a good deal with China and all the fears will be in vain. Yes, but Mr Mr.'s main worries President is the trade deficit between the two countries - which he thinks will most easily melt away by imposing tariffs. Despite the fact that traders are catching straws and looking for a reason for ling - the foundation says things are not as pink as they look.
Markets are currently on the loop, but investors remain timidly cautious.
Read more:
25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256
World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600 Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44
Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.
Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006
The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
Disclaimer:
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.