The pound declined after a poll showed Theresa May’s Conservative Party may miss winning a majority at next week’s general election and face a hung parliament.
The pound has been strengthening in past weeks, despite a slowing economy and increased security risks, as earlier surveys suggested a bigger Tory lead.
The slide in the pound is another example of markets not being prepared for a close election, let alone a hung parliament,” said Sean Callow, a senior currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Sydney.
“Speculative short positions have been unwound, leaving sterling looking for fresh direction. So speculators may reload short-pound positions if the election is indeed a lot closer than was implied by the sharp rally when the election was announced.”
Westpac, the second most-accurate major currencies forecaster in Bloomberg’s latest ranking, maintains its expectations for the sterling to fall to $1.26 over the next month, Callow said.
Source: Bloomberg Pro Terminal
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