Commodities markets are sending a pair of signals that President Donald Trump is gaining ground in efforts to reduce trade deficits with China.
The yuan is up about 9% against the dollar over the past year and currently on the upswing after a swoon. That gives China more purchasing power in dollar terms while making its exports less attractive to U.S. buyers, both positive forces in narrowing the trade gap.
The soybean argument is more complex. Soy prices are off their highs this year, but holding above the 2017 average. U.S. exports are estimated at a record 54% of production, even though China, the biggest buyer, has reduced purchases as part of the two countries' trade dispute. The rising exports and the price resilience indicate the trade dispute won't threaten soybean producers, good news for the Trump-supporting agrarian states that grow the crop.
Source: Bloomberg Pro Terminal
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