Mark Carney: BoE's interest rate hike won't happen until 3th quarter of 2018

The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates steady and make no changes to its asset purchasing program when it gathers Thursday for its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

The central bank is set to keep interest rates at a record low of 0.25 percent and maintain its quantitative easing (QE) program at a rate of £435 billion ($573 billion), despite inflation remaining at persistently high levels.

The fall in sterling following the U.K.'s vote to leave the European Union has pushed up the cost of imports, making goods more expensive for British consumers. This has resulted in higher inflation, which hit 2.9 percent in August, well above the Bank of England's target of 2 percent.

Ordinarily, this higher inflation would prompt the central bank to hike interest rates. However, the anticipated slowdown in the U.K. economy following Brexit leaves the bank reticent to make such moves, predicting that inflation will soon fall.

In July, the stubborn metric showed signs of relenting, slipping to 2.6 percent, though Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said in August that inflation is likely to first track higher before dipping. The bank has said it anticipates inflation will hit 3 percent in October.

Carney added that two interest rate hikes could be expected over the coming three years – one more than previously expected – though he cautioned that the first is unlikely to occur until the third quarter of 2018, once inflation stabilizes.

Source: Bloomberg Pro Terminal

Trader Bozhidar Arabadzhiev

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