Reserve Bank of Australia August monetary policy board meeting minutes
Board saw no strong case for a near-term move in interest rates
Next rate move likely to be up if progress made on unemployment, inflation
Bank to be source of stability and confidence by holding policy steady
AUD had fallen a little on US$, but TWI still within trading band of last two years
Household consumption supported by income growth in q2
Saw less uncertainty about the outlook for household consumption
Underlying inflation seen at 1.75 pct over 2018, rising to 2.25 pct in 2020
Govt spending expected to make significant contribution to economic growth out to 2020
Board members recognised effects of drought conditions on rural sector
Initial impact of drought likely boosted farm exports in q2, downside risk longer term
Bank funding conditions "generally accommodative" despite rise in money market rates
Risks to global outlook had shifted due to trade protectionism, US fiscal stimulus
Risk of faster fed hikes could lower AUD, support Australian economy
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
Charts: Used with permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P.
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