The latest wave of heavy selling in financial markets is a clear sign of things to come

The latest wave of heavy selling in financial markets is a clear sign of things to come, according to a new report from the world's oldest international financial organization.

The Bank of International Settlements (BIS), an umbrella group for the world's central banks, warned on Sunday that a normalization of monetary policy is likely to trigger a flurry of sharp sell-offs over the coming months.

"The market tensions we saw during this quarter were not an isolated event," Claudio Borio, head of the monetary and economic department at the BIS, said in the report.
"Monetary policy normalization was bound to be challenging, especially in light of trade tensions and political uncertainty," Borio added.
Flight to safety

The report comes at a time when stocks worldwide have come under renewed pressure from a myriad of factors, ranging from a global trade war between the world's two largest economies, to intensifying concerns about a possible economic slowdown over the coming months.
The BIS highlighted the steady increase of interest rates from central banks worldwide as particularly challenging for equity markets, with the Federal Reserve widely expected to raise rates by 25 basis points next week.

Policy normalization is the attempt by central banks to reduce the size of their balance sheet and raise benchmark interest rates so that monetary policy returns to the environment prior to the global financial crisis in 2008.

"Mixed signals from the global economy and the gradual, yet persistent, tightening of financial conditions triggered the market repricing. Protracted trade tensions and heightened political uncertainty added to the flight to safety," the BIS said in its latest quarterly review.

All of the headwinds cited by the BIS in its review of the final three months of 2018 are expected to rumble on through the first quarter of 2019 at least, prompting the group to warn of trouble ahead for global stocks.

The Fed has also projected three rate hikes for 2019, although watchers say it could reduce its forecast based on recent dovish comments from Fed officials and a more tempered view of the economy for next year.

Source: CNBC

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