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The most important of Mario Draghi's statement

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Mario Draghi held a press conference in Vilnius, Lithuania. Here's what's most important:

  • Global shocks continue to weigh on the European economy
  • The ECB is ready to act in emergencies
  • The ECB is ready to make adjustments to its policy if necessary
  • Economic data indicate lower growth in Q2 and Q3, reflecting the current weakness in international trade
  • The construction sector shows some sustainability and the labor market continues to improve
  • Wage levels in the euro area continue to be strained
  • All the countries in the Eurozone must insist on policies that stimulate growth
  • Growth in the long run has to be achieved
  • GDP projections are as follows: 2.1% in 2019 (instead of 2%), 1.4% in 2020 (instead of 1.6%), 1.4% in 2021 (instead of 1.5%)

Most important of the Q & A session:

  • Economic data is not bad
  • There is no significant deterioration in our vision, so extending the QE will take 7 months
  • Expectations for a fall in inflation are on a global level, something that we take into account
  • There is also a possibility of deflation
  • Our readiness to act in emergencies was an important part of our decision. There are members of the Commission who have raised the issue of interest rate cuts
  • We conducted a long discussion about whether negative rates have a bad impact on the banking sector - profits and their ability to lend. For the time being, we do not think that a negative effect has accumulated, but it is unlikely to continue if we continue with the interest rate cut
  • Financial conditions are slightly tight
  • The decision today on interest rates was unanimous
  • The discussion today confirmed there are tools available and the determination to act if needed
  • Asked if it's more likely the ECB will hike than cut as its next move, says 'no'
  • We are 'not at all' accepting current market-based inflation expectations
  • We should create a European authority for anti-money laundering and empower it
  • Current conditions are 'not even comparable' to when I said 'whenever it takes', we have the lowest unemployment rate in many years

Photo: Flickr


 Trader Martin Nikolov

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