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The probability of a second Brexit referendum is getting bigger

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Even two years after the first Brexit referendum, British politicians are still not sure how they want to get out of the EU. Now more politicians want a second vote, which has the potential to change the results of the first one.

More than 150 politicians want a new referendum, including the Labor nationalists and several Conservative Party representatives. But this figure is still far from the 320 needed to convene a new referendum. It is not clear what exactly will be voted on. The bulletin may ask whether people would like to revert to the 2016 decision. The alternative is for the UK people to be asked whether they support Teresa May's current arrangements in the way that the UK has to come out of the EU or whether they prefer to leave the Union without agreed terms.

Politicians are pushing more and more for a new vote that will break the stalemate over Parliament due to the fact that no consensus can be reached on the conditions for leaving. According to Mei, however, calling for a new vote is not advisable, because that is the principle of democracy. There are big risks for a new disunity in the country.

Chances, however, for a second referendum have risen. Jo Johnson of the Conservatives says, "It's not Brexit who promised us." He recently resigned as a minister in protest against the terms of the deal. "That is why we need a new vote." Johnson is on the UK's side to stay in the EU.

In 2016, 52% of voters chose Britain to leave the European Union. Now 53% want to stay - according to six recent surveys conducted by different agencies.

There are three possible options: Deal, no deal, no Brexit. The problem is that there is no British regulation in referendums where there are more than two options, so it is most likely that the query will not include the option to remain in the EU.

It is also not certain whether the UK people will make the same choice as in 2016, namely to leave the Union.

Source: The Wall Street Journal

Photo: Pixabay


 Trader Martin Nikolov

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