www.varchev.com

This is the best trade in the market right now

Rating:

12345
Loading...

The nearly decadelong bull market in the U.S. is long in the tooth, and there are better gains to be had elsewhere, according to one strategist.

"We have long thought the market has gotten ahead of itself, with U.S. valuations creating a headwind for continued market growth," Mark Eibel of Russell Investments said Tuesday on CNBC's "Futures Now."

The Dow, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 hit record highs this week as investors put the congressional testimony of former FBI Director James Comey and Attorney General Jeff Sessions on the back burner and await what could be the fourth rate hike in more than a decade on Wednesday.

But while U.S. equities continue to churn out gains, Eibel warned that a shaky political backdrop and anemic economic recovery could spark a selloff over the next several months.

"We do think we're due for a correction in U.S. stocks [and] a key risk is lack of policy follow-through," he said. "At some point the market will get tired of waiting for tax reform and other key policies from the Trump administration. There's a continued risk to the downside."

Additionally, Eibel pointed to second-quarter GDP as a potential catalyst to take U.S. markets down. "A lot of people are banking on it to make up for the first-quarter number, it needs to deliver ... I really think that that number might be the trigger point on does this market have the legs to go higher." First-quarter GDP came in at 1.2 percent, the weakest since the first quarter of 2016.

Rather than pile into the U.S., Eibel suggested investors "take chips off the table and place them around the world globally."

Specifically, he pointed to Europe and emerging markets. "Our biggest overweight in our international funds is in Europe, we know they're not as cheap as they were, but they're still cheaper than the U.S.," he said. Eibel added that European equities will remain more attractive than the U.S. as its economy continues to grow at the same rate as the U.S. and ECB President Mario Draghi maintains interest rates at zero.

"Europe is our biggest overweight in our international funds and a slight overweight to emerging markets in general. Just as oil is certainly not in the mid-20s anymore and developing markets are growing around 4½ percent, the dollar's not quite as strong. So, an overweight to emerging in general and Europe specifically," Eibel added.

Source: Bloomberg Pro Terminal

Jr Trader Alexander Kumanov


 Varchev Traders

Read more:

RECCOMEND WAS THIS POST USEFUL FOR YOU?
If you think, we can improve that section,
please comment. Your oppinion is imortant for us.
WARNING: Any news, opinions, research, data or other information contained within this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Varchev Finance Ltd. expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Varchev Finance Ltd. may provide information, quotes, references and links to or from other sites and blogs and other sources of economic and market information as an educational service to its clients and prospects and does not endorse the opinions or recommendations of the sites, blogs or other sources of information.
Varchev Finance

London


25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256

Universal numbers

World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600    Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44

Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.

Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006

The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.


Disclaimer:

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

chat with dealer
chat with dealer
Cookies policy