Westpac, the bank most familiar with the New Zealand economy, has published its expectations about NZD/USD development over the next few months. According to the bank, there are several fundamental reasons for bringing the pair down to around 0.68/6700. First of all, Westpac highlights the Fed's policy of tightening monetary policy. Interest rate hikes in the United States lead to a high interest rate differential between the Fed and RBNZ rates. The bank then refers to New Zealand's domestic economic data, which indicates a slowdown in the economy. Last but not least, we should note that RBNZ will not take action to tighten monetary policy until the fears of the war are completely disintegrated. Currently, the US-China trade war remains the greatest risk to New Zealand's economy, which is heavily dependent on China.
"We expect the NZD/USD to fall to 0.6800 by the end of September and to 0.6700 or lower by the end of December," Westpac said.
What other leaders in the banking industry think you can follow on the main schedule.
Chart: Used with permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P.
Read more:
25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256
World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600 Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44
Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.
Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006
The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
Disclaimer:
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.