he Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its current range of 1.00% to 1.25% in its announcement at 2:00PM ET (18:00GMT) on Wednesday and also reveal its plans for the winding down, or tapering, of its asset purchases in order to begin, likely in October, the reduction of its $4.5 trillion balance sheet.
The tapering plan already laid out by the Fed was to shrink the balance sheet by only $10 billion a month divided into around $6 billion in Treasuries and $4 billion in agency debt and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) with the increase being made in similar amounts at three-month intervals until the reduction in repurchases reached a total of $50 billion, or $30 billion in Treasuries and $20 billion in MBS.
The Fed targets 2% inflation and its preferred indicator, the personal consumption expenditure deflator was just 1.4% in July, although the August consumer price index rose to 1.9%, from the prior month’s reading of 1.7%.
“Even though inflation is currently somewhat below our longer-run objective, I judge that it is still appropriate to continue to remove monetary policy accommodation gradually,” Dudley said
Fed fund futures have kept the possibility of a hike in December in the cards, with odds currently at around 63%, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool.
The focus on Wednesday will likely be on whether Yellen can convince markets to maintain those bets even as the central bank announces its plans to unwind the balance sheet.
Source: Bloomberg Pro Terminal
Junior Trader Stefan Panteleev
Read more:
25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256
World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600 Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44
Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.
Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006
The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
Disclaimer:
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.