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What to expect in the next week 26-31-00

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During the last week we witnessed a serious drop in oil. Prices dropped by more than 20%, marking its entry into bearish marketing territory. Increasing production by non OPEC member countries such as the US, Libya and Nigeria raises serious concerns that the organization will be able to reduce the supply to the markets.

GBP - This was the week in which the Brexit talks began. British Prime Minister Theresa May promised Thursday that EU citizens will not be immediately kicked out of Britain when it leaves the union. Negotiations are in good tones, and this has a good effect on the currency. Earlier this week, Mark Carney said now is not the time to raise interest rates, while other Central Bank members voted for an increase. Such a division was the last in 2011. We will look for more details about the central bank policy.

USD - The dollar has dropped in the last week. Investors remain skeptical of Janet Yellen's words that tightening of the monetary policy will continue. The central bank has planned 4 rises in interest rates this year, but moods look negative, and we may only see another interest rate hike and that has a negative impact on the currency. In the short term, oil price developments will be traced, is the decline continues this will have negative impact on the risk appetite and will support safe-heaven instruments such as JPY and GOLD. We will keep track of the price of black gold, and if a new decline in the price of oil happens, we can take short positions on USD / JPY with the mid-term trend.

Important economic data for the next week:

Monday:

11:00 - Germany - Ifo Business Climate Index

15:30 - USA - Core Durable Goods Orders

Tuesday:

01:45 - New Zealand - Import

01:45 - New Zealand - Export

01:45 - New Zealand - Trade Balance

17:00 - USA - CB Consumer Confidence

Wednesday:

15:30 - US - Goods Trade Balance

17:00 - USA - Pending Home Sales

17:30 - USA - Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday:

02:50 – Japan – Retail Sales

04:00 - Australia - HIA New Home Sales

04:00 - Australia - ANZ Business Confidence

09:00 - Germany - GfK German Consumer Climate

15:00 - Germany - CPI

15:30 - US - Gross Domestic Product

Friday:

01:45 - New Zealand - Building Consents

02:30 - Japan - Household Spending

02:30 - Japan - CPI

02:50 - Japan - Industrial Production

04:00 - China - Manufacturing PMI

09:00 - Germany – Retail sales

10:55 - Germany - Unemployment rate

11:30 - UK - Gross Domestic Product

12:00 - Europe - CPI

15:30 - Canada - Gross Domestic Product

Junior Trader Stefan Panteleev


 Varchev Traders

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