Sentiment on stock markets next week will be determined by three factors, and these are:
- Today's report on employment in non-agricultural sectors of the US;
- Increasing speculation after Greece refused to accept the plan of creditors;
- The meeting of OPEC;
Today's figures for employment in non-agricultural sectors of the US were better than expected 280,000 novozaeti with expectations for 227 million. Good data, however, lead to a decrease in stock indices, because it more likely the Fed to raise rates soon, which is bad for stocks. Good data means and stronger dollar, which also acts negatively on the stock market, especially on energy shares. Now, markets are very dependent on the Fed and accumulate every single thing that increases or decreases the probability of an increase in interest rates. Therefore, the markets in the short term the first few days of next week is likely to remain under pressure. On the other hand good data will largely offset the negative impact of rising interest rates, but it is still early.
These data will provide good opportunities for purchase next week of good stocks at lower prices because the economy really signals the new bullish momentum.
Greece will continue to influence the market, most likely the country is currently playing for time. After the refusal of parliament to accept the plan proposed by the creditors may see increase in precautionary and speculative sentiment abrupt movements of indices.
We can not expect growth in oil prices in the coming days because good data push up the dollar, and from there to the decline in the price of oil. We can not expect a positive outcome after the meeting of oil-producing countries, because Saudi Arabia declared its intention to maintain its market share of the oil, which would be an obstacle to lower yields in order to increase the price of oil, and thus energy shares.
All short-term factors now have a negative impact likely to decrease in the indices at the beginning of next week.
Purchases only if the indices fail to pass over 100 his period moving averages. Passing over them would give me a signal for possible new upward movement
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