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What will influence the markets next week

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Impressive data on employment in the agricultural sector in the US 271,000 in expectation of 181 000. Good data will increase speculation and expectations that the Fed will have every reason to raise rates in December.

Increased expectations of higher interest rates will widen the gap between the monetary policies of the US and the Eurozone as a result of which the dollar will rise, and the euro will lose ground.

ECB President Mario Draghi said that there is a high probability the ECB will adopt new measures to stimulate the economy, which if happens we will see the so-called perfect storm: raising US interest rates and new stimulus measures in Europe, which can lead to parity 1: 1 EUR / USD

Good US data are bad for stock indices, increasing the likelihood the Fed to raise interest rates will have a negative impact on the shares. Stock indexes traded around historical records and yet raising interest rates, this is bad. No one will want to take the risk, ie to buy shares of these high levels of the indices, therefore the likelihood of a downgrade

Likelihood of US indexes to fall in the week is great.

Stock indexes in Europe are also expected to correct, but much less than in the US because of the expansionary monetary policy of the European Central Bank.

GBP / USD will remain under pressure next week. Despite the serious decline of the GBP last two days and 05 years 06/11/2015 sentiment remains weak and speculation are very strong. There are many stops closures, which are de facto sell their positions.


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