Saudi Arabia needs higher oil prices to secure its costs by stimulating the economy and this is contrary to the wishes of Trump.
IMF data released on Monday show that the world's largest oil exporter needs prices of around $ 85 a barrel to balance its budget this year, compared with a forecast of $ 73 in September.
The assessments highlight the difficult task of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to build a close relationship with Trump and at the same time revive economic growth and job creation in the kingdom through the 2023 program, which includes a 7% increase in government spending in 2019.
Trump has repeatedly warned OPEC to keep oil prices low, and his latest tweet Friday said he was talking to Saudi Arabia and other suppliers about production.
Many members of OPEC and their partners outside the group will report a budget deficit if the price exceeds the average of $ 62 by the end of the year. Saudi Arabia expects to reduce its deficit to 4.2% of GDP from 4.6% in 2018 due to high supply prices.
Saudi Arabia's fiscal break-even is likely to be above $ 95 a barrel this year, but IMF is likely to calculate a cash transfer from Saudi Aramco to the finance ministry. " Ziad Daoud (chief economist- Middle East) told Bloomberg.
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
Charts: Used with permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P.
Read more:
25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256
World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600 Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44
Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.
Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006
The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
Disclaimer:
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.